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Survival Statistics (Part 2): Will Leicester need more points than average to stay up this season?

Rob Hayes has had his calculator out once again to crunch the numbers behind Championship relegation. The average total needed to avoid the drop in the last ten seasons is 45.3 points but will City need more than that, and can they do it?

10.04.26, 17:20 Updated 10.04.26, 17:20 3 Minute Read

Rob Hayes

Rob Hayes

With 11 games to go, I sat down and crunched the Championship relegation numbers from the last ten seasons.

Now, with five games left, I thought it was time to revisit this process and see what the numbers look like in terms of us staying in the division.

You can read the original article here, but I’ll summarise and update it in the next few paragraphs if you fancy a shorter read!

The average number of points needed to survive in the Championship in the last decade has been 45.3 – that figure has been calculated based on amassing one more point than the team that finished 22nd in each season.

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